The Legend

The Legend
Showing posts with label 2016 predictions. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2016 predictions. Show all posts

Thursday, July 14, 2016

Looking Back at my Predictions

Since this is the unofficial halfway point of the season I thought it would be fun to see how my predictions are holding up from the beginning of the year.  



AL East: Blue Jays
AL Central: Royals
AL West: Astros
Wildcard 1: Red Sox
Wildcard 2: Rangers
Best Record: Blue Jays

ALCS Matchup Astros vs Red Sox


The only teams I really missed the boat on so far is the Orioles and Indians. The O's are being carried by an offense that consistently puts balls into orbit and a bullpen that is top notch.  The Tribe had a great rotation, but going into the season many considered their outfield one of the worst in baseball.  Thankfully their upper management have gotten great seasons from Tyler Naquin, Rajai Davis and Lonnie Chisenhall. 

NL East: Nats
NL Central: Cubs
NL West:  Dodgers
Wildcard 1: Pirates
Wildcard 2: Mets
Best Record: Nats

NLCS Matchup  Pirates-Cubs

As a whole the NL was much easier to pick then the AL as it is very top heavy.  The glaring omission here is the Giants. Only an epic second half collapse will cause them to miss the playoffs. 

WS Matchup Red Sox-Cubs (I will be puking the whole month of October if this happens)

WS winner Red Sox  (The Cubs will lose in glorious fashion)  GOAT

I still like my WS matchup, but dread the overly dramatic narrative that will come with it. 

AL MVP - Mike Trout 
NL MVP - Bryce Harper 

Trout will likely be the best overall player in the AL again, but the Angels are so bad that it would take something very special to keep him at the top of the list.  Since voters hate giving the award to players on bad teams that likely leaves Josh Donaldson and Jose Altuve as the front runners right now. 

Harpers June slump likely played himself out of the award.  The front runners now are Kershaw and Kris Bryant. 

AL Roy - Bryon Buxton
NL Roy Steven Matz

Buxton was terrible the first month of the season and got sit back to the minors. He has been a tad bit better recently, but nowhere near the point to be considered rookie of the year.  Right now the likely winner would be Michael Fulmer for the Tigers. 

My NL rookie of the year pick was made knowing that Corey Seager would be the front runner.  While Matz has been a quality pitcher, Seager is a clear cut number one.  

Al HR - Miguel Sano
NL Hr - Giancarlo Stanton

My AL choice was made more on pedigree than actual track record. Sano is likely going to 30 homeruns even after missing significant time with injury, but it won't even be close to the leaders. Seasoned mashers like Chris Davis, Edwin Encarnacion, Mark Trumbo and Chris Davis are all the top of the list.

Stanton is definitely in play because he by far has the most power in the game.  He still managed to hit 20 and he was terrible up until about the last two weeks before the break.  I still like this pick. 

Overall I'm still doing pretty well.  The main lesson I learned is to not bet against the Giants. They are a bunch of wizards. 









Thursday, March 31, 2016

So Close to Baseball (Prediction Time)

I've done pretty well predicting the awards  in years past, but I'm god awful at the playoffs. This year is even harder because the AL is so wide open. You can make a case for every team if they have enough break right during the course of the season. The NL is top heavy as several teams have tore down their rosters. Teams like the Phillies, Braves and Brewers have decided to punt this season.

Here are my predictions that will look really stupid by the end of the year.

AL East: Blue Jays
AL Central: Royals
AL West: Astros
Wildcard 1: Red Sox
Wildcard 2: Rangers
Best Record: Blue Jays

ALCS Matchup Astros vs Red Sox

NL East: Nats
NL Central: Cubs
NL West:  Dodgers
Wildcard 1: Pirates
Wildcard 2: Mets
Best Record: Nats

NLCS Matchup  Pirates-Cubs

WS Matchup Red Sox-Cubs (I will be puking the whole month of October if this happens)

WS winner Red Sox  (The Cubs will lose in glorious fashion)  GOAT

I really have nothing against the Cubs or the Red Sox, but that narrative would be exhausting.

AL MVP - Mike Trout
NL MVP - Bryce Harper

Those really should be the picks every year. Trout is probably going to get hurt for the fact that the Angels don't seem like playoff contenders.

AL CY - Corey Kluber
NL CY- Clayton Kershaw

AL Roy - Bryon Buxton
NL Roy Steven Matz

Al HR - Miguel Sano
NL Hr - Giancarlo Stanton

I have absolutely zero confidence in my AL picks.  The Red Sox and Astros probably have the most complete teams but are far from power houses.  I actually like the Yankees a decent amount this year because they are going to be unbeatable if they have lead after 6 innings. Could you imagine facing Betances, Miller and Chapman....Yikes. Any major injury to a Blue Jays or Red Sox star could easily propel them into the playoffs.

My bold prediction with my friends was that the Dodgers would make some blockbuster deal to get another pitcher.  You have to figure that someone like Sonny Gray or Chris Archer might be available if the wheels fall off the As or Rays.

The only other NL teams that look like contenders that I didn't have in the playoffs are the Giants and Cardinals.  Both teams should be good, but I had to leave someone off.